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British Politics

2026 Makerfield By-Election (Must take place in 2026 or bets will be void)

2026-06-18 • 9:00 p.m.

Labour Vote Share %

Over 43.5

1.80

Under 43.5

1.91

Election Winner

Labour

1.30

Reform UK

4.00

Restore Britain

13.00

Green Party

501.00

Conservatives

501.00

Liberal Democrats

1001.00

Climate Party

2001.00

Count Binface

2001.00

John Dyer (Independent)

2001.00

Restore Britain Vote Percentage

10-14.99%

4.00

5-9.99%

2.50

Less than 5%

4.50

15-19.99%

7.00

20-24.99%

10.00

25-29.99%

15.00

30-34.99%

21.00

40% or more

34.00

35-39.99%

26.00

Betting without Labour

Reform UK

1.08

Restore Britain

7.00

Conservatives

201.00

Green Party

201.00

Liberal Democrats

501.00

Climate Party

1001.00

Count Binface

1001.00

John Dyer (Independent)

1001.00

Libertarian Party

1001.00

2026 Aberdeen South By-election (Must take place in 2026 or bets will be void)

2026-06-18 • 9:00 p.m.

Election Winner

SNP

1.40

Conservatives

2.75

Reform UK

26.00

Labour

41.00

Green Party

251.00

Liberal Democrats

201.00

2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry By-election (Must take place in 2026 or bets will be void)

2026-06-18 • 9:00 p.m.

Election Winner

SNP

1.14

Labour

8.00

Reform UK

17.00

Conservatives

26.00

Green Party

201.00

Liberal Democrats

201.00

Next Permanent Liberal Democrat Leader (Temporary or Caretaker leaders do not count)

2026-12-31 • 12:00 a.m.

Next Lib Dem Leader

Daisy Cooper

1.53

Josh Babarinde

7.00

Layla Moran

9.00

Calum Miller

17.00

Helen Maguire

17.00

Munira Wilson

17.00

James MacCleary

21.00

Monica Harding

21.00

Lisa Smart

26.00

Next Permanent Reform UK Leader (Temporary or Caretaker leaders do not count)

2026-12-31 • 12:00 a.m.

Next Reform UK Leader

Richard Tice

5.00

Rupert Lowe

8.00

Lee Anderson

21.00

Ben Habib

21.00

Robert Jenrick

4.00

Boris Johnson

21.00

Suella Braverman

21.00

Andrea Jenkyns

21.00

James McMurdock

51.00

Next Permanent Labour Party Leader (Temporary or Caretaker Leaders Do Not Count)

2026-12-31 • 10:00 p.m.

Next Permanent Labour Party Leader (Temporary or Caretaker Leaders Do Not Count)

Andy Burnham

1.40

Angela Rayner

8.00

Ed Miliband

12.00

Wes Streeting

15.00

Al Carns

26.00

Shabana Mahmood

34.00

Darren Jones

41.00

Yvette Cooper

51.00

Rachel Reeves

67.00

Will Keir Starmer be Prime Minister at the next general election?

1.07

Yes

7.00

What year will Keir Starmer be replaced as Labour Party leader?

2026

1.20

2027

6.50

2028

21.00

2029 or later

15.00

Next Permanent Conservative Party Leader (Temporary or Caretaker Leaders do not count)

2026-12-31 • 10:00 p.m.

Next Permanent Conservative Party Leader (Temporary or Caretaker Leaders do not count)

James Cleverly

5.00

Katie Lam

7.00

Claire Coutinho

13.00

Tom Tugendhat

15.00

Nick Timothy

15.00

Chris Philp

17.00

Jeremy Hunt

17.00

Nigel Farage

19.00

Boris Johnson

21.00

Will Kemi Badenoch lead the Conservative Party into the next general election?

Yes

1.61

2.20

What year will Kemi Badenoch be replaced as Conservative Party leader?

2026

9.00

2027

4.00

2028

5.00

2029 or later

1.85

Next London Mayoral Election

2028-05-04 • 9:00 p.m.

Next London Mayor

Sadiq Khan

3.75

Laila Cunningham

3.00

Dawn Butler

9.00

James Cleverly

13.00

Boris Johnson

21.00

Nigel Farage

41.00

Rosena Allin-Khan

21.00

Zia Yusuf

34.00

Georgia Gould

26.00

General Election

Next UK General Election

2029-08-15 • 8:00 p.m.

Will any party win an overall majority?

Yes

2.30

1.57

Year of next general election?

2029 or later

2.00

2028

3.50

2027

6.00

2026

7.00

Most seats?

Conservatives

5.50

Labour

2.87

Reform UK

2.62

Liberal Democrats

41.00

Advance UK

201.00

Green Party

17.00

Your Party

301.00

Restore Britain

13.00

Overall Majority

No overall Majority

1.57

Labour Majority

6.00

Reform UK Majority

6.00

Conservatives Majority

11.00

Liberal Democrats Majority

201.00

Green Party Majority

51.00

Your Party Majority

401.00

Restore Britain Majority

21.00