All United Kingdom

Futures 3

Next Permanent Labour Party Leader (Temporary or Caretaker Leaders Do Not Count)

2025-12-31 • 10:00 p.m.

Next Permanent Labour Party Leader (Temporary or Caretaker Leaders Do Not Count)

Angela Rayner

6.00

Wes Streeting

6.50

Andy Burnham

12.00

Yvette Cooper

13.00

Bridget Phillipson

17.00

Rachel Reeves

26.00

Darren Jones

26.00

Lisa Nandy

34.00

David Lammy

34.00

Next Permanent Conservative Party Leader (Temporary or Caretaker Leaders do not count)

2025-12-31 • 10:00 p.m.

Next Permanent Conservative Party Leader (Temporary or Caretaker Leaders do not count)

Robert Jenrick

2.40

James Cleverly

6.00

Boris Johnson

11.00

Nigel Farage

13.00

Rupert Lowe

17.00

Chris Philp

26.00

Claire Coutinho

26.00

Priti Patel

26.00

Katie Lam

29.00

Next UK General Election

2029-08-15 • 8:00 p.m.

Will any party win an overall majority?

Yes

2.00

1.80

Most seats?

Conservatives

5.50

Labour

2.40

Reform UK

2.25

Liberal Democrats

34.00

Greens

Year of next general election?

2029 or later

1.80

2028

2.75

2027

13.00

2025

15.00

2026

15.00

Overall Majority

No overall Majority

1.80

Labour Majority

4.00

Reform UK Majority

4.50

Conservatives Majority

13.00

Liberal Democrats Majority

101.00