NFL Week 1 Betting Preview: Hot bets and moving odds
Earlier today I talked about how Week 1 in the NFL season is a lot like going back to school in my first NFL Hail Mary column of the year (yes, do check it out). That much is pretty evident when you consider some of the following.
What are the odds?
You know it’s Week 1 when the odds are all over the board. This week’s board features four games with pointspreads of a touchdown or more and six games with spreads at 3.5 or lower. The New England Patriots are favored by 9.5 points at Buffalo and the Indianapolis Colts are 9.5-point favorites at home to Oakland.
Odds on the move
Denver was once pegged as a 10-point favorite, but that line tumbled all the way to Broncos -7 by Wednesday night. Now, hours before game time, the odds have shifted again to Denver -7.5. That half point might end up making all the difference if it holds.
This game was set as a pick ‘em up until Thursday afternoon when Sports Interaction oddsmakers moved Cleveland to a 1-point favorite. This line might bounce around right up until Sunday’s kickoff.
This is another line to keep a close eye on. Dallas opened as a field-goal favorite, then moved to -2.5, back to -3, then to -3.5 before resting at -3 right now. This has all the makings of a close game so wait until you see the right odds for you.
There are some fat numbers on the board to kick off the season. New Orleans-Atlanta checks in at 54, while New-England Buffalo and Philadelphia-Washington also have 50+ totals. Tampa Bay-New York Jets is the low number at 39.5.
This total opened at 47 points but has dropped all the way to 44. No surprise there when you consider Houston’s strong defence and the Chargers being the Chargers.
You could see this coming. In a game that means a ton to both teams and features San Francisco’s defence, this total has dropped from 50 at the open to 48.5 now.
Who’s hot, who’s not?
As of Thursday afternoon, Sports Interaction bettors were jumping all over some very popular favorites.
And finally, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers were holding a whopping 92 percent of the action as 4-point favorites when they head to New York for a date with the Jets (8 percent). With Mark Sanchez injured, rookie Geno Smith gets the call.
The New England Patriots were seeing 82 percent of the action as 9.5-point favorites on the road against the Buffalo Bills (18 percent).
The Seattle Seahawks were drawing 87 percent of our action as 4-point favorites when they visit the Carolina Panthers (13 percent) Sunday.